Breaking Down the Top 10 Democratic Contenders for the 2024 Presidential Race

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“President Biden is strongly indicating his intention to enter the presidential race, and recent developments suggest he may make a formal announcement soon. Observers point to his recent State of the Union address as evidence of his preparedness, while news of a positive physical examination suggests he is in good health to take on the challenge despite his advanced age.”

At this point, it seems safe to assume he’ll get in. The questions at that point become: Will anybody else? And will Biden lock it down over the next year?

What about Biden

At present, it seems that virtually all noteworthy figures are expressing their reluctance to run. However, this cautious stance is currently the sensible response. Nonetheless, what if we fast forward to 2024, and no other contenders emerge, leaving us with a primary in which merely 37% of voters desire President Biden’s participation?

The point is that the decision of whether President Biden will run for re-election and whether other potential candidates will follow suit is not the only factor in play. The mood and sentiment of the party as the year advances are also crucial.

While having a cohesive party is important, it is even more important to ensure that the unity is in support of the most suitable candidate before it becomes too late.

Top 10 Democratic Contenders for the 2024 Presidential Race

Here are the latest bimonthly rankings of the top 10 Democrats who are considered the most probable nominees for the 2024 Democratic presidential race.

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poster for vote 2024

10. J.B. Pritzker

There are only a few names on the list of potential Democratic nominees for the 2024 presidential election who appear to be as vocal about their intentions as the governor of Illinois.

Specifically, Governor Pritzker’s recent State of the State address had a nationalistic tone to it, and he has been aggressively targeting Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, a prominent Republican figure.

During his speech this week, Pritzker made it clear that he sees the right-wing as having an ideological agenda, which they are using to discriminate against individuals and ideas they do not support. (Previous ranking-10)

9. Josh Shapiro

According to Jonathan Martin of Politico, there is a developing notion that the Democratic Party does not have a weak candidate pool, but rather that the impressive prospects are relatively recent.

One of the most promising of these newcomers is the newly elected governor of Pennsylvania, who leads a group of potential candidates that includes Senator Mark Kelly, Senator Raphael G. Warnock, and Governor Wes Moore of Maryland.

While it would be challenging for the Pennsylvania governor to run for president mere months after being elected for his first term, it is worth observing his performance in the Keystone State. (Previous ranking-9)

8. Bernie Sanders

Despite previously indicating that the 2020 presidential campaign would likely be his last, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont has left his options open for the 2024 presidential election.

He has, however, been appointed to a chairmanship that he had surely coveted, which will give him significant influence over issues he is passionate about, including health and labor, as the chair of the Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee.

Despite his newfound authority, the 81-year-old senator has not confirmed whether he will run for re-election in 2024. Instead, he has expressed a strong focus on legislation, telling the Times that the primary purpose of elections is to elect officials to carry out work, rather than to endlessly discuss future elections. (Previous ranking-7)

7. Amy Klobuchar

In terms of reasons for prioritizing Senate work, the senator from Minnesota has both a re-election campaign in 2024 and was recently appointed as the fourth-ranking leader among Senate Democrats.

While this may not be a direct sign of her intentions to pursue a presidential campaign, it could be an indication that she anticipates President Biden will seek re-election.

In any case, given her new leadership role in Congress, it seems that Klobuchar’s skills would be well-suited to a congressional track rather than a presidential one. (Previous ranking-5)

6. Gretchen Whitmer

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Election 2024

Despite indicating that she will not run for president if Joe Biden decides not to seek re-election in 2024, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer could face pressure to reconsider after her significant re-election victory in 2022.

Not only has Whitmer won two elections in a swing state with a roughly 10-point margin, but Democrats have also gained control of both chambers of the state legislature for the first time in nearly 40 years.

This recent success gives Whitmer an opportunity to achieve meaningful progress as governor, which may make it challenging for Democrats who are eager for her to join the presidential race. (Previous ranking-8)

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5. Gavin Newsom

The governor of California is working to promote a more assertive stance within the Democratic Party. In addition to criticizing Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, he has also recently taken aim at Republican policies and initiatives in Arkansas, Missouri, Texas, Virginia, and Florida again.

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Newsom has expressed a concern that Democrats have been too passive in their approach and need to take a more proactive stance. Although he has stated that he will not run for president if Joe Biden decides against seeking re-election, some doubt that he will be able to resist the temptation. (Previous ranking-6)

4. Jared Polis

The Colorado governor is notable for his intention to not allow Republicans to dominate discussions on certain issues. This was exemplified in his state of the state speech, where he emphasized the need for secure and accessible elections for all voters in the US, not just in Colorado.

He also expressed the importance of fixing the broken immigration system and securing the borders. When asked about Biden’s possible candidacy, Polis stated that he would only be enthusiastic if the president himself showed enthusiasm. (Previous ranking-4)

3. Kamala D. Harris

When discussions arise about whether or not the president will include Harris on his ticket if he chooses to run for re-election, it isn’t typically a good sign for one’s own presidential prospects.

This topic has been repeatedly brought up to Harris, in part due to recent challenging profiles and an uncomfortable response on the matter from Senator Elizabeth Warren. It’s challenging to imagine a scenario in which Biden would replace Harris as his running mate, so it seems more like idle gossip.

Nonetheless, the current vice president’s performance may not be as impressive as Democrats would like if Biden doesn’t pursue another term. (Previous ranking-3)

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2. Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg, the current transportation secretary, has retained his second spot in the bimonthly rankings of the top 10 Democrats most likely to be the 2024 Democratic nominee.

However, his role as the transportation secretary has been fraught with challenges, including the recent train derailment in East Palestine. Despite the difficulties, Buttigieg seems to have ruled out a run for the Senate seat in his adopted home state of Michigan, as he declined the possibility after Sen. Debbie Stabenow announced her retirement.

While Buttigieg’s ranking has not changed, his job as the transportation secretary has become challenging due to several crises, including the recent train derailment. Buttigieg has made it clear that he has no intention of running for the Senate seat in Michigan, which has become vacant following Stabenow’s announcement of retirement. (Previous ranking-2)

1. President Biden

Biden has been facing doubts regarding whether Democrats want him to run again, which is unusual. However, he may feel a bit more confident due to the positive results of the 2022 midterm elections.

With inflation easing and a predicted ugly nominating contest amongst the Republicans, the current president may have an advantage in the upcoming presidential race.

Additionally, Democrats are making moves to move South Carolina, Georgia, and Michigan ahead in the primary process, which are all states that are favorable for Biden. This move could affect the decision-making process of anyone considering running against him. (Previous ranking-1)

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